March Madness

Vermont vs Arkansas Preview

#13 vermont

1. 5th in FG% 2. 10th in points allowed 3. 3rd on OREB allowed

Vermont plays in a weak AEC, but are good shooters and they dominate the boards. 6'8 Foward Ryan Davis leads the team in both and will be their key to winning. 

Strengths

Ryan Davis (F) - 17.2 PTS, 5.7 RBDS, 1.3 AST

#13 vermont

1. 350th in turnovers given 2. 238th in 3P% allowed 3. 310th in steals 4. 275th in blocks

Vermont tends to give the ball away and can't create their own turnovers versus technically sound teams. They suffer versus good 3P shooting teams. 

Weaknesses

#4 Arkansas

1. 1st in free throws 2. 2nd best defense in SEC 3. Excellent guard play 

Arkansas is led by phenom guard JD Notae, who constantly drives to the hoop,  draws fouls, and moves the ball around. Jaylin Williams provides the defensive foundation with steals, blocks and board control. 

Strengths

JD Notae (G)- 18.4 PTS, 4.5 RBDS, 3.7 AST

#4 Arkansas

1. 320th in 3P% 2. 172nd in turnovers given

The Razorbacks struggle from the 3P line and JD Notae can rack up turnovers on a bad night. If they fall behind early its tough for them to catch up. 

Weaknesses

Odds

The spread is surprisingly small here. This match will come down to how well Ben Shungu can guard JD Notae, and how well Jaylin Williams can shut down Ryan Davis. 

Arkansas are -5PT favorites

PREDICTION

Vermont has a good defense in conference, but they haven't come up against a guard like Notae.  He will get the Razorbacks up early and Jaylin Williams will frustrate Ryan Davis. 

Arkansas wins by 7