DFS Fantasy Football Slate
Welcome to Football DFS Divisional Weekend of the NFL season! It’s time for our DFS Starts and Sits. Due to the limited number of games and players on the slate now that we are in the playoffs, I am going to give you two starts and sits of the weekend, beyond the obvious plays.
I use the DraftKings salary cap as my basis for picks, which operates on a 50k salary but I know we have many FanDuel players as well. For reference, Fanduel operates on a 60k salary, so prices will appear higher on that platform.
Start ‘EM IN Football DFS Divisional Week!
RB: Marshawn Lynch @ GB ($4,800)
You won't be blown away by the rushing totals in Beast Mode's two games since he has returned, but he has punched in a touchdown in both contests. There are some big-ticket running backs on the slate, but if you are looking for a budget-saver at RB, Lynch isn't a bad option.
Pete Carroll flat-out said Marshawn will be getting more touches and will be more involved against the Packers this weekend. Seeing that his only competition for touches in the backfield is Travis Homer and Robert Turbin, it's safe to say Marshawn will get the ball enough to make him a value play.
WR: Deebo Samuel vs. MIN ($5,200)
While the Niners run the ball well, they also rely on quick slants and screens to get the ball in space to guys like Emanuel Sanders and Deebo Samuel. Sanders was the big trade acquisition, but the rookie Samuel has actually been the more consistent fantasy producer.
Since Week 10, Samuel has scored at least 13 fantasy points in every game since then except for one. In three of those games, he has scored over 22 fantasy points. He's a big play waiting to happen, with a head coach who is well-known for his ingenuity on offense.
While the Vikings shocked the Saints last week and held Michael Thomas to 7 catches for 70 yards, their pass defense has been inconsistent. They are prone to giving up the big play, and Samuel could be the one to break a 50-yard screen pass with his elite speed. At his price tag, he has great upside value, with a solid floor.
Sit ‘EM Football DFS Wild Card Week!
RB: Derrick Henry @ BAL ($8,200)
This may sound crazy, but this may finally be the week that Derrick Henry isn't worth the price tag. The Ravens have a very good defense, who seem sold out to stop Henry and make Ryan Tannehill beat them.
Earl Thomas had a few things to say after Henry gashed the Patriots defense. He also added to Sarah Ellison, Ravens reporter, that: "If Tannehill tries to pass on us, I don't think that will go in their favor."
The Ravens will blitz and play near the line of scrimmage in order to make the Titans air it out in order to beat them. Tennessee only completed nine passes in their victory over the Patriots, so it isn't out the realm of possibility that Henry just keeps trucking defenders regardless. However, the price tag is so high that it may inhibit your ability to round out a complete roster.
QB: Patrick Mahomes vs. HOU ($7,500)
Look, I know my sits this week are a bit bold. We are talking about elite players here, and in the DFS playoffs, we have to take some risks. While Mahomes is still an amazing QB, his numbers have dipped this season. Since Week 3, Mahomes only has one 30-point fantasy performance.
In Week 6, when he squared off against this Texans team, he was priced exactly the same as he is this week on the slate and produced 20.82 fantasy points. That's not terrible, but it's not what you are hoping for if you pony up the DFS capital to get Mahomes.
Houston is just as bad against the run as they are the pass, so I think the Chiefs will take advantage of that and insert a dose of Damien Williams and Shady McCoy to have a more balanced offense. For my money, I am taking a flier on one of the more inexpensive quarterbacks who are either mobile or who I believe will have to throw it more often.
Those are your DFS Divisional Week Starts and Sits. Good luck! Here’s to hoping your fantasy football players ball out and you cash out.