DFS Fantasy Football Sunday Slate
Welcome to Week 10 of the NFL season! It’s time for our DFS Week 10 Starts and Sits. It’s hard to believe we are over halfway through the regular season. Let’s take a look at the best bargains of the week!
I use the DraftKings salary cap as my basis for picks, which operates on a 50k salary but I know we have many FanDuel players as well. For reference, Fanduel operates on a 60k salary, so prices will appear higher on that platform.
QB: Ryan Tannehill vs. KC ($5,100)
Throwback to two weeks ago when I recommended Tannehill for about this same price. The results: 19.4 fantasy points, with three touchdown passes. It could’ve been an even bigger day if he had to throw for any yardage, but hey we’ll take it.
Last week, Tannehill had another good performance against a solid Carolina defense, tossing for 331 yards and 1 touchdown. He even rushed for a TD. He did throw a couple of picks, but you’ll live with that. He racked up 28 fantasy points at a $5,300 price tag. That’s a nice ROI.
This week, he gets a Kansas City defense that is very bad against the run and average against the pass. The Chiefs will be geared up to stop Derrick Henry, which leaves them vulnerable to some play action. The Titans could really use the run to set up some big pass plays. If Mahomes plays, the Titans may have to take to the air more than they’d planned to keep up with Kansas City’s high-octane offense.
Somehow, Tannehill is priced below guys like Teddy Bridgewater (who is relegated back to the bench after Brees returned), Mitch Trubisky (who only has two games all season scoring over 10 fantasy points), and Cam Newton (who is on injured reserve). I get that Tannehill isn’t exactly a sexy pick, but the disrespect equates to a real potential bargain at QB this week for you.
RB: Devin Singletary @ CLE ($5,000)
Ever since returning from injury, Singletary has been heating up. It culminated last week when he got 20 carries for 95 yards and a touchdown. He also added three catches for 45 yards. Frank Gore will still garner some work and will continue to do so until the year 2040. However, In this run-first offense, Singletary is the 1A and Gore is the 1B.
The Bills run game gets a juicy matchup against the struggling Browns, who rank 27th against opposing running backs. They rank 30th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game, but are a bit more stingy through the air, ranking sixth in the league. This is a prime game for the Bills to bludgeon the Browns running the ball 30+ times. Singletary could find himself with close to 20 carries again this weekend.
WR: Zach Pascal vs. MIA ($5,300)
While there is an outside chance T.Y. Hilton plays this weekend, it seems more likely he sits again leaving Pascal as the top wideout. Parris Campbell fractured his hand last week, so it looks like Pascal and the tight ends are the best passing targets for either Brian Hoyer or Jacoby Brissett. Regardless of who is at QB, there’s big potential here. The Dolphins may have won a game, but they are still a fantasy dream matchup for opponents.
Last week in Hilton’s absence against the Steelers, Pascal had five catches for 76 yards and a touchdown. He ended the day with 18.6 fantasy points. In Week 7 against the Texans, Pascal exploded for 106 yards on six catches for two touchdowns and 31.6 fantasy points. The talent is there and the matchup is right for a possible explosion. But at the very least, the volume and floor should be there at a bargain.
RB: Todd Gurley @ PIT ($6,100)
Todd Gurley has been solid this season, but not the elite running back we have seen in the past. He hasn’t rushed for 100 yards once this entire season, and he has only eclipsed 50 yards rushing three times. The only saving grace for Gurley is his presence in the red zone.
The Steelers rank 5th against opposing running backs in fantasy this season and are a middle-of-the-road rush defense. The lack of volume and the matchup for Gurley this weekend just doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence for me. At least not at that price tag. There are better bargains with more upside than Gurley this weekend.
WR: Allen Robinson vs. DET ($6,300)
Allen Robinson has been solid all season, even amid Mitch Trubisky’s immense struggles. Last week, it may have finally caught up with him. He had a single catch for six yards. Now, the Lions pass defense ranks 30th in the league in yards allowed. They also give up the 22nd most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. All that sounds great, right?
It does, except that Trubisky is still the Bears QB and the Lions still have shutdown corner Darius Slay, who is a good bet to shadow A-Rob all day. Opposing QBs have a 59.9 QB rating when throwing Slay’s way this season, along with a paltry 42.3 completion percentage.
This is a week at WR where I don’t love a lot of matchups, so it makes sense to pay up for the studs or go bargain hunting. Either way, I’d avoid Robinson this week.
TE: Mark Andrews @ CIN ($5,200)
In the first two weeks of the season, Andrews had two consecutive games of over 27 fantasy points. Since then, he has had zero games with 15 fantasy points or more. The Ravens have settled in as a team that runs the ball with Ingram and Lamar Jackson while spreading targets around among a few wide receivers and all three tight ends. The consistent volume simply isn’t there to view Andrews as an upper-tier tight end.
Now it’s no secret that the Bengals are not a good football team. However, you throw records out when it comes to division rivalries. Moreover, the Bengals are actually sixth-best in the league in fantasy points allowed to opposing tight ends. Overall, they rank 22nd in passing yards allowed per game but are dead last in rushing yards allowed per game. So while there may be some beneficiaries of the Bengals porous defense, I wouldn’t put my money on Andrews.
Those are your DFS Week 10 Starts and Sits. Good luck! Here’s to hoping your fantasy football players ball out and you cash out.