Football DFS Week 15 Starts and Sits
DFS Fantasy Football Sunday Slate
Welcome to Week 15 of the NFL season! It’s time for our DFS Week 15 Starts and Sits. It's a little sad we are already in Week 15, but let's not think about it too much. Let's enjoy the holidays filled with NFL and college bowl games (and maybe family).
I use the DraftKings salary cap as my basis for picks, which operates on a 50k salary but I know we have many FanDuel players as well. For reference, Fanduel operates on a 60k salary, so prices will appear higher on that platform.
QB: Eli Manning vs. MIA ($5,200)
Now, this is with a caveat that Daniel Jones does not play, which seems likely given his ankle injury. Pat Shurmur isn't ruling him out yet, but he should just let Eli bring them home this season. Eli looked competent in the first half against the Eagles, and the Dolphins rank 23rd in passing defense and dead last in total defense.
Pair that with the fact that most of the Giant's offensive weapons are back. Golden Tate, Sterling Shepard, Saquon Barkley, and potentially Evan Engram. The Fins don't present too much of a challenge, and for the price tag, you could take a shot on Eli and save more cash to pay up for some running backs and wide receivers with matchups that could lead to huge games.
(Disclaimer: If Daniel Jones is able to go this week, my other bargain option would be Drew Lock priced at $5,700 against the Chiefs)
RB: Chris Carson @ CAR ($7,500)
There's no polite way to put this: The Seattle Seahawks were embarrassed by the Rams last week in primetime. You can bet they are going to come out swinging in this game. Rashaad Penny was beginning to make a significant dent in Carson's workload, but now it is reported he will miss the rest of the season, much to the chagrin of Seahawks fans.
With Carson set to handle a large bulk of the carries, with Travis Homer and C.J. Prosise mixing in sparingly, he makes for a great play this weekend. The Seahawks are one of the run-heaviest teams in the league, and they will likely be leading throughout this game. Pair that with the fact that the Panthers are ranked 29th against the run, and this all adds up to a productive day for Carson. I usually aim you toward more obscure, bargain players, but this week Carson is too good to pass up.
WR: Greg Ward @ WAS ($3,000)
Greg Ward is one of two healthy Eagles wide receivers at the moment. Never heard of him? It doesn't matter, he could be a great dart throw this weekend. With Nelson Agoholor ailing and Alshon Jeffrey out for the year, Ward could see quite a few targets thrown his way this weekend in a must-win game against the Redskins.
Even with Alshon on the field, Ward has garnered 19 targets over the past three weeks. He even put up double-digit fantasy points a few weeks ago. Now with only the underwhelming and inconsistent J.J. Arcega-Whiteside to compete with at wideout, he could be in for a nice PPR performance. If you spend $3,000 on a player and he gets you 7-10 points, that's still a decent ROI.
QB: Russell Wilson @ CAR ($7,000)
I know this may seem contradictory as I recommended Chris Carson above, but let me explain. I think Wilson will have a nice game, but I see the Seahawks taking an early lead and pounding the ball and controlling the clock. Wilson has shown he can explode for big fantasy days this season, but his last five games he has failed to reach 18 fantasy points.
The Panthers also aren't terrible defending the pass. They have allowed 229.3 passing yards per game, which is 12th-best in the league. Their issue is stopping the run, which happens to be Seattle's bread and butter. Wilson may hit on a couple of big plays with play-action passes, but I don't expect him to air it out this week.
He's the second-highest priced QB on the slate behind only Patrick Mahomes, but if I am paying up for a QB I want him to have more pass attempts than Wilson does on average. I'd rather pay a lot less for a bargain QB that will get me close to the same amount of points.
RB: Joe Mixon vs. NE ($6,100)
Mixon has had an interesting season. The Bengals have been so incredibly bad, and Mixon's stat lines were brutal as well. But he's turned it on the last few weeks and has looked like the feature back the Bengals drafted him to be. But that momentum will come to a screeching halt when the New England Patriots come to town this weekend.
I'd have more optimism if A.J. Green was healthy and thriving because it would take away the Pats' ability to focus solely on stopping the run or the pass. But with Tyler Boyd as the best passing option with a subpar QB (whoever is under center), Bill Belichick will do what he does: take away your best offensive player.
The Patriots are top 5 in passing and rushing defense and the best overall defense in the league. Cincy has no shot, and you'd probably be wise to go ahead and pay up for the Pats D this week too while you're at it.
WR: Tyler Lockett vs. CAR ($6,900)
I promise I am not meaning to be a homer in picking three Seahawks for this article. It just worked out that way. Lockett and Wilson have a great connection, but Lockett is banged up and has been on quite a cold streak lately. His last four games he's scored: 8.3, 0, 4.8, and 5.9 fantasy points. That's brutal if you are rostering him in a season-long league as one of your starting WR.
Back to what I've been harping on: The Carolina Panthers are solid against the pass, but bad against the run. Expect there to be a lot of pounding the rock, and I assume they will be playing with a lead as well. If I am shelling out that kind of dough for a WR, he better be a high-volume guy AND has TD potential. Lockett isn't doing either lately.
Those are your DFS Week 15 Starts and Sits. Good luck! Here’s to hoping your fantasy football players ball out and you cash out.
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