DraftKings Fantasy Football Sunday Slate
We are into Week 3 of the NFL season! Fantasy football has been turned on its head this past week with some major injuries that will have a significant fantasy impact. We did pretty well on our picks last week, and moving forward we are going to do the Starts and Sits in one column, picking and choosing the best bargains and exposing the ripoffs. Let's get to it!
I use the DraftKings salary cap as my basis for picks, which operates on a 50k salary but I know we have many FanDuel players as well. For reference, Fanduel operates on a 60k salary, so prices will appear higher on that platform.
QB: Josh Allen vs. CIN ($5,900)
In the immortal words of Chris Berman, "No one circles the wagons like the Buffalo Bills!" Bills Mafia has to be ecstatic with a 2-0 start to the season.
That 2-0 start is in large part to their young QB Josh Allen, who has made some progress since last season. It also helps that the Bills went out and got him some pass-catchers.
Allen's rushing ability gives him a safe floor and a high ceiling, which is the perfect recipe for fantasy success. He has rushed for a touchdown in each of the first two weeks. He will match up against a Bengals defense this week at home who just gave up over 40 points to the San Francisco 49ers. I like the matchup and the price is fair. He's priced lower than Aaron Rodgers, who has fewer passing yards than Josh Allen so far this season. I know it's a small sample size, but the fact that I just typed that sentence is something.
RB: Aaron Jones vs. DEN ($6,100)
Aaron Jones truthers, our time has come!
Finally, and hopefully please for the love of God, it seems like the Packers have come to their senses and are going to give the bulk of the carries to the more explosive back in Green Bay. Now Jamaal Williams will still get some touches, but here's to hoping that this past week's performance has solidified Jones as the lead back.
Jones toted the rock 23 times for 116 yards and touchdown and added four catches for 34 yards. That's a nice fantasy football day any way you slice it. Next, he gets the Broncos, who rank 23rd in the league against the run, surrendering 125.5 rushing yards per game. The Packers are committed to a balanced offense. Case in point, Aaron Rodgers has not eclipsed 250 yards passing in either game this season and attempted 30 and 34 passes in each game, respectively.
I like the potential for Green Bay to go ahead in this game and hold the lead by controlling the clock. #FreeAaronJones has commenced.
WR: Larry Fitzgerald vs. CAR ($5,100)
With fantasy football performances totaling 28.3 and 18.4 points the last two weeks, is this Larry Fitzgerald or Ponce de Leon? Either way the Fountain of Youth has finally been found. It's been hiding in Arizona this whole time.
Larry Fitzgerald faces a pretty good Panther defense this weekend. In fact, they rank third in passing yards allowed a game, giving opponents just 186 yards through the air. The Rams in Week 1 was a legitimate offense, but I think the stats got a little padded going against Jameis Winston and the Bucs offense in Week 2. Not to mention, the defense may be on the field more with a backup QB at the helm not sustaining long drives. All it takes is a misstep and Larry Fitz will make you look silly. Even at 36 years old, Fitz still has it. I like the price and the production in the air raid offense this weekend.
QB: Tom Brady vs. NYJ ($6,600)
Yes, I know the Pats offense is scary. I know they have Antonio Brown, Josh Gordon, Julian Edelman, James White, Sony Michel etc. There are a few things I don't like about Brady this week. however.
First of all, even in putting up 43 points on the hapless Dolphins, Brady scored just 24.7 fantasy points. Which is solid, but 6 of those points came on a fluky rush TD. The Pats are actually one of the top teams in the league in rushing inside the 5-yard line the past couple of seasons, but not with Tommy Terrific. So if we take away that TD it is fewer than 20 fantasy points.
Secondly, I think this game will get out of hand quickly, which could mean Brady takes a seat in the fourth quarter. I see this game being a major rushing game split between Sony Michel, Rex Burkhead, and James White. While I think Brady will be solid this game, I don't feel he is worth a top three QB pick as far as the salary cap goes. There are cheaper options like Dak Prescott and DeShaun Watson I much prefer.
RB: Alvin Kamara @ SEA ($8,000)
While the Seahawks are no longer the Legion of Boom, they still have a serviceable defense. They rank fourth in the league in rushing yards allowed, stymieing opponents to 57.5 yards per game.
On the heels of Drew Brees being out for an extended period of time and Teddy Bridgewater taking the helm, it seems like the logical play for the Seahawks is to stack the box and commit to stopping the run. Teddy didn't look very comfortable when he took over for Brees last week, so unless he can be accurate and take the pressure off the run game, it could be a long day for Kamara.
TE: Vance McDonald @ SF ($4,300)
Vance McDonald exploded for 22.8 fantasy points last week catching two touchdowns in the loss to Seattle. Big Ben is lost for the season, so enter Mason Rudolph as the Steelers' starting QB. The interesting part is that McDonald caught both of his touchdowns from Rudolph.
Now I know what you are thinking: You have him in the sit section why? I'll tell you. Even though he had seven catches in the game and two touchdowns, he had 38 yards receiving. I want the volume and the yardage. Touchdowns are fluky; they come and go. While it is a huge part of fantasy football rankings, volume and consistency are valued more.
The 49ers are top 10 so far this season in the NFL in total yards a game allowed and points allowed. Mason Rudolph looked good in his relief of Big Ben, but how will he fare as the starter? We don't know yet. There's also the connection between Rudolph and college teammate James Washington to account for. I have a feeling Rudolph will be looking for him as well as JuJu (obviously) in the passing game before he looks to McDonald.
The 49ers are ranked #14 against the run, so this also may be the best way to attack their defense. We may see James Connor and Jaylen Samuels get some extended run. I would rather pay up a bit to get an Evan Engram or pay less for Darren Waller this week.
Good luck! Here's to hoping your fantasy football players ball out and you cash out.